Friday, February 23, 2018

Buying Time

When you hear the name, "Doomsday Clock," of the gauge used by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists to warn that the end is nigh, it leads you to think that these scientists are doomers. Scientists are actually some of the most optimistic people. The Scientists are using the clock to show how modern civilization is flirting with widespread disaster and permanent collapse. The latest developments put our risk as high as it has ever been.

What the doomsday clock is purporting to show is that we are not doomed (yet). Were the clock to ever reach midnight, we would be. The clock currently tells us that we are nearing the brink, but climate change can still be reversed in time and  nations can still control the nuclear genie. James Anderson, a professor of atmospheric chemistry at Harvard who earned his stripes by pointing out how chlorofluorocarbons were depleting the ozone layer, tells us that there is much less time than we would like to believe.

According to Anderson, the Arctic ice cap is on pace to melt entirely by 2023. When that goes, the permafrost will melt, a tipping point which is not included in IPCC models. As the Greenland ice sheet slides into the ocean, sea level rises 23 feet. Anderson maintains that stopping greenhouse gas emissions is not by itself enough to prevent these near-term changes to Earth's systems. He calls for an all out effort to direct resources toward drawing down atmospheric carbon with some added geoengineering in the form of deflecting sunlight from the poles.

Let governments and institutions do what they will. I doubt they will transform industry as quickly as Professor Anderson says is needed. For those of my generation who are retired, who are not involved in the major muscle movements to end fossil fuel use and draw down carbon, I encourage you to learn how to make and use biochar. It's catching fire around the world and may be one thing that buys the world more time to realize its predicament and make decisions that will allow humankind to continue to dwell upon the earth.

Friday, February 9, 2018

Sounding Off in Desperation

Let's give this another go. Editing the International Biochar Initiative Newsletter, including a monthly summary of new research, has edged blogging out of my schedule of late, but I plan to reapply myself to posting regularly, becoming a writer again, rather than just an editor.

With a new title more descriptive of this blog's emergent zeitgeist, a new layout, and increased realization of how the world works, I plan to continue opining on developments from the perspective of my own (mostly potential) involvement. To be more specific about my involvement, of the 231 posts I have written, I can claim only one (dealing with my small scale biochar production) to be substantially realized in practice. Sixty-six posts deal with matters that I have not attended to in the least. The other 164 posts have received some attention, but still require much more.

A variation of Murphy's Law that I have subscribed to most of my life is that if anything can go wrong, it will, but the inevitability of such an occurrence diminishes significantly if you do something to prevent it. Even awareness of problems and needed improvements counts to some degree - taking the issues out of the unknown-unknown category. So I have 66 known-unknowns and 165 known-somewhat knowns now that still could use additional action. Those that I will concentrate on personally will come from the 66 in which I am most remiss.

Then there are the unknown-unknowns. These will hopefully be discovered in time as this blog continues meandering, albeit more desperately, in search of giving us a better chance.


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